Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000121 0.000134 0.000148 0.000164 0.000183 0.000202 0.000225
2025-11-02 0.000100 0.000118 0.000138 0.000162 0.000191 0.000225 0.000266
2025-11-09 0.000086 0.000106 0.000131 0.000162 0.000201 0.000248 0.000310
2025-11-16 0.000074 0.000096 0.000123 0.000160 0.000208 0.000268 0.000352
2025-11-23 0.000066 0.000088 0.000118 0.000159 0.000215 0.000290 0.000397
2025-11-30 0.000059 0.000083 0.000114 0.000159 0.000224 0.000313 0.000446
2025-12-07 0.000053 0.000077 0.000109 0.000158 0.000229 0.000332 0.000490
2025-12-14 0.000049 0.000073 0.000107 0.000160 0.000240 0.000359 0.000548
2025-12-21 0.000045 0.000069 0.000105 0.000161 0.000249 0.000382 0.000603
2025-12-28 0.000042 0.000065 0.000101 0.000160 0.000254 0.000401 0.000653
2026-01-04 0.000039 0.000063 0.000100 0.000162 0.000265 0.000430 0.000719
2026-01-11 0.000037 0.000060 0.000098 0.000162 0.000272 0.000453 0.000780
2026-01-18 0.000034 0.000057 0.000095 0.000162 0.000279 0.000476 0.000843
2026-01-25 0.000032 0.000054 0.000092 0.000161 0.000284 0.000497 0.000904
2026-02-01 0.000030 0.000052 0.000090 0.000161 0.000291 0.000522 0.000975
2026-02-08 0.000028 0.000049 0.000087 0.000159 0.000294 0.000541 0.001036
2026-02-15 0.000026 0.000047 0.000085 0.000159 0.000300 0.000564 0.001108
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000045 0.000084 0.000159 0.000307 0.000591 0.001189
2026-03-01 0.000023 0.000043 0.000081 0.000157 0.000311 0.000610 0.001256
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000042 0.000081 0.000160 0.000322 0.000645 0.001361
2026-03-15 0.000021 0.000041 0.000080 0.000160 0.000330 0.000675 0.001455
2026-03-22 0.000020 0.000039 0.000078 0.000159 0.000334 0.000697 0.001536
2026-03-29 0.000019 0.000038 0.000077 0.000162 0.000345 0.000736 0.001657